Wallet digest

active

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$8.12

Total PnL

$-59.63

Realised

$-6.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 44

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026
$4.10
$2.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026
$4.02
$2.05
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
13 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-6.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026
$0.00
$-1.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 10:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 09:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 09:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 09:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 09:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.97Jan 17, 08:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 08:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 08:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.79Jan 17, 08:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 10, 17:04 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Jan 10, 17:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 10, 16:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Jan 10, 16:30 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.01Jan 10, 16:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 10, 16:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 10, 15:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 10, 15:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Jan 10, 15:30 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.79Jan 10, 15:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jan 10, 15:19 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry95 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 23
Avg trade size: $1.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 10, 11:19 UTC
Last active: Jan 17, 10:19 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:13:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data