Unnatural-Insulation
0xfec464f25ce66aaeb9bd4ecb94b7184520bccfc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-356.48
Win rate
53%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?
319 shares @ 53.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$316.75
$145.94
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $210 in July?
302 shares @ 44.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$299.64
$165.91
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026?
164 shares @ 85.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$144.31
$3.90
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $214 in July?
129 shares @ 72.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$128.35
$34.96
- NO
Will Gen.G make a roster change before September?
117 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$111.30
$3.64
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
100 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$97.65
$0.05
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $212 in July?
88 shares @ 64.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$87.46
$31.08
- NO
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before September?
89 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.85
$1.78
- NO
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
100 shares @ 48.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.50
$28.10
- NO
Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?
87 shares @ 93.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$70.62
$-9.97
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.28Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- MERGEIran full airspace closure by August 31?$3.70Jul 29, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$9.85Jul 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?$12.65Jul 29, 00:39 UTC
- MERGEWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$20.10Jul 29, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$0.08Jul 29, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$15.20Jul 29, 00:34 UTC
- MERGEWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of July 27 2026?$4.59Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.55Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of July 27 2026?$1.04Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of July 27 2026?$15.54Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$1.15Jul 29, 00:06 UTC
- MERGEIran full airspace closure by August 31?$20.00Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$6.20Jul 29, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$66.60Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$0.19Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$0.02Jul 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$4.80Jul 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 400B HKD?$5.63Jul 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$13.87Jul 28, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
60 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.