Querulous-Crook
0xfecc2ad544562e02786a8f061b095c116e4e7551
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$4.72
Total PnL
$-993.33
Realised
$36.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- MEXICO
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
549 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-71.42
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
431 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-129.28
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
372 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-45.52
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
290 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
289 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-86.56
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
287 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-43.66
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)
255 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-77.30
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
239 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- CANADA
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
230 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-64.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)$14.30Jul 26, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?$14.12Jul 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)$50.14Jul 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC København (-1.5)$30.82Jul 26, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$0.00Jul 26, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$59.68Jul 25, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$21.38Jul 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$39.21Jul 25, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?$15.59Jul 25, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5) AND Spread: FC København (-1.5) AND Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)$6.00Jul 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?$51.61Jul 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?$15.50Jul 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?$10.40Jul 25, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?$6.24Jul 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?$20.80Jul 25, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?$6.24Jul 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$89.59Jul 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5)$8.99Jul 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$47.52Jul 15, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.