Concerned-Bug
0xfecd78c7ac166f86b6ff24ec2ddeead95f92b13b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.28
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.28
$-1.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 31?
1124 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 1?
989 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on April 1?
812 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on April 1?
247 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 15?
208 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 1?
208 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 17?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
168 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
158 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-33.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10?$0.53Apr 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 10?$0.39Apr 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or higher on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00Apr 7, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.58Apr 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.00Apr 7, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 7?$1.48Apr 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?$2.27Apr 5, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$12.12Apr 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$10.00Apr 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?$1.25Apr 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?$3.91Apr 4, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?$0.17Apr 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?$0.35Apr 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?$0.04Apr 3, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 4?$0.55Apr 3, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 4?$1.21Apr 3, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?$0.99Apr 3, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".