Difficult-Ball

• NO

  Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

  33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $33.33

  $30.33

• YES

  Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

  5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $5.26

  $2.26

• NO

  Canada recession in 2025?

  5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $4.62

  $1.62

• NO

  Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

  3 shares @ 66.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $3.00

  $1.00

• NO

  Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

  3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $2.90

  $0.90

• YES

  Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

  3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $2.53

  $0.53

• YES

  Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

  10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-5.00

• YES

  Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?

  7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $0.00

  $-3.00

• YES

  Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

  6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $0.00

  $-2.00

• REDEEMWill Trump say "United States" 2+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 19?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.01Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "God" or "Evil" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "God" or "Evil" 7+ times during 9-11 memorial event?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times during 9-11 memorial event?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during 9-11 memorial event?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?$0.00Nov 12, 01:43 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "King" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?$1.11Oct 10, 12:04 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?$1.43Oct 10, 12:04 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "King" or "Queen" 4+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?$1.45Oct 10, 12:04 UTC
• REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$2.63Oct 10, 12:04 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.00Sep 19, 18:17 UTC

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