Jaunty-Musculature
0xfed59d9374f6a27a005497833f8ddffaaf247472
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$382.06
Total PnL
$13.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
242 shares @ 16.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$241.63
$201.63
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
61 shares @ 65.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$60.73
$20.73
- NO
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
50 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$49.52
$9.52
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
30 shares @ 56.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.19
$13.19
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?
854 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
316 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-92.00
- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?
103 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?
58 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$15.00Aug 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple acquire Perplexity before September?$4.93Aug 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAfD banned in 2025?$9.14Aug 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$12.00Aug 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang join the America Party?$2.30Aug 8, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$20.00Aug 8, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Aug 1, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Aug 1, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?$36.54Aug 1, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Aug 1, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$35.25Aug 1, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LockedIn Poker reach his $100k goal by August 31?$20.00Jul 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$14.57Jul 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO in 2025?$11.43Jul 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$10.18Jul 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$3.83Jul 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2.00Jul 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$2.70Jul 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?$19.00Jul 22, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Jul 22, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".