Married-Web
0xfed7d0ce1b227dfb6f6160a10ac4b31c8c70b06a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.5K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
30793 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
26147 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
19940 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.7K
- YES
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
18726 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.6K
- YES
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
18722 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.5K
- YES
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
18286 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
16667 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
16667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
14500 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
14286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$103.43Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$8.27Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$3.1KJun 25, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$1.7KJun 25, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$1.4KJun 25, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2.0KJun 25, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$2.1KJun 25, 01:02 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.57Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$1.0KJun 24, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$2.6KJun 24, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$2.2KJun 24, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$2.0KJun 24, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$5.1KJun 24, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$1.0KJun 24, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$1.0KJun 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$854.26Jun 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$1.0KJun 24, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$509.45Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$509.60Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.59Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$17.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
59%
Window
Jun 16, 03:20 UTC → Jun 20, 01:36 UTC
- BUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$10.0K@49¢Jun 20, 01:36 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
59%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
$10.0K · 59% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.