Unlucky-House
0xfed837a83463d7f163fe2f07c50ea4559dc660de
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$35.35
Total PnL
$-158.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
660 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.56
$-4.44
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
588 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.82
$-1.18
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
63 shares @ 7.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.31
$-2.69
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.90
$-3.10
- YES
French election called by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 23.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-11.25
- YES
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
13861 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
5646 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.84
- YES
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
283 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$12.45May 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.28Mar 29, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$15.00Mar 17, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election?$0.36Mar 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$6.45Mar 17, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$24.07Mar 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?$17.85Mar 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$20.00Mar 11, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$17.13Mar 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?$20.00Mar 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$20.00Mar 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$11.11Mar 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$11.10Mar 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$15.15Mar 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Mar 11, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$15.00Feb 1, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election?$5.00Jan 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$10.00Jan 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?$5.00Jan 28, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?$5.00Jan 28, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.