Long-Term-Bake
0xfedbe2d09435df5e4da125c763996529492d55be
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.49
Total PnL
$-317.67
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- ATLANTA BRAVES
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?
669 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- HOWARD BISON
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SIENA SAINTS
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals$2.13Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$2.78Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.82Jun 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.03Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$1.02Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.02Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$1.01Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals$1.02Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.01Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.01Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.13Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$2.56Jun 13, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox$2.33Jun 13, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.27Jun 13, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees$1.01Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.02Jun 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$1.02Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.