Straight-Miss
0xfee7539c753def3e18f31426425d1c619422c2c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.2K
Realised
$569.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
15052 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
6967 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3832 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
3666 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
3665 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
3422 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1136 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-567.80
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
226 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.29Mar 25, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.01Mar 25, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$1.09Mar 25, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$2.06Mar 25, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Feb 5, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$2.00Feb 5, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 5, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Feb 5, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Feb 5, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.02Feb 5, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 5, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 13, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.02Dec 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$51.50Nov 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.00Nov 22, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$20.00Nov 22, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $69.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.