Delicious-Furniture
0xfee927eea16389cc9c162da2379b694b85f5fce3
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$71.19
Total PnL
$60.27
Realised
$-0.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
66 shares @ 1.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$66.19
$64.97
- NO
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$4.75
- YES
Will Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?
144 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?
47 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
45 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?
28 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?
24 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.00Feb 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?$1.02Feb 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?$1.07Feb 3, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$1.05Feb 2, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?$1.15Jan 17, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 13, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?$0.00Jan 13, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 13, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 13, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.00Jan 13, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Georgia by 1.0%-2.0%?$0.00Jan 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.04Dec 19, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?$0.24Dec 14, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$0.20Dec 9, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.24Dec 3, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.02Dec 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.38Nov 29, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.39Nov 29, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?$0.59Nov 28, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.29Nov 26, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.