Occasional-Wording
0xfeebba554bf90a7b6ed012d6d192e027636bfe51
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-750.08
Realised
$14.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
798 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
431 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Syria before October?
300 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.99
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
165 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.05
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.24Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.57Jul 20, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.21Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.32Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev AND Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$18.83Jul 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev AND Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$9.99Jul 10, 07:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$7.00Jul 7, 09:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$10.00Jul 6, 05:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jul 5, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $30.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.