0xfeed88c9f141d7057608335cd540245279423aec
0xfeed88c9f141d7057608335cd540245279423aec
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$416.54
Total PnL
$-0.55
Realised
$-0.98
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- JUAN MANUEL CERUNDOLO
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
33 shares @ 34.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$32.89
$21.57
- KATERINA SINIAKOVA
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
58 shares @ 43.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$31.76
$6.76
- MIAMI MARLINS
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
23 shares @ 59.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$22.72
$9.10
- NO
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-15?
21 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$20.99
$2.22
- MARTA KOSTYUK
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin
27 shares @ 89.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$20.35
$-4.12
- NO
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?
17 shares @ 30.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$16.56
$11.56
- YES
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?
16 shares @ 92.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$15.73
$1.16
- UNDER
Liverpool FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
15 shares @ 78.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$14.91
$3.10
- OVER
FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
14 shares @ 55.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$14.31
$6.34
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
14 shares @ 61.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$13.74
$5.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$0.00Aug 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albacete Balompié win on 2026-08-16?$1.27Aug 16, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.00Aug 16, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$21.32Aug 16, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$6.35Aug 16, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Yankees (-2.5)$6.41Aug 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SS Lazio 0 - 2 Mantova 1911?$4.34Aug 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.59Aug 16, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5$0.00Aug 16, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5$0.00Aug 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs$1.47Aug 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs$1.03Aug 16, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevic$0.00Aug 16, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevic$11.05Aug 16, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers$0.00Aug 16, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers$6.00Aug 16, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5$0.00Aug 16, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5$0.00Aug 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$2.26Aug 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-08-16?$1.02Aug 16, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.