Functional-Celebration
0xfef528d55beecf1bfe8cafa96970d5a6132bf23d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$32.05
Total PnL
$-25.35
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.44
$0.44
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.22
$0.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 27?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on October 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will India win?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.00Dec 26, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 27?$5.00Dec 26, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$5.00Dec 26, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 49-50°F on December 9?$5.03Dec 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.16Dec 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.20Dec 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$5.56Dec 26, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$5.81Dec 26, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Dec 10, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 49-50°F on December 9?$5.00Dec 10, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Dec 10, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.00Dec 10, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$5.00Dec 10, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$5.00Dec 10, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.01Dec 10, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.54Dec 10, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMPredators vs. Hurricanes$3.01Dec 10, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.32Dec 10, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$4.90Dec 7, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredators vs. Hurricanes$3.00Dec 7, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.