0xfef5dfd33d40dbc67cf6b0363986eec4d7deafb5
0xfef5dfd33d40dbc67cf6b0363986eec4d7deafb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$6.9K
Realised
$6.9K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be above 10% on March 15, 2021?
4599346 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?
4094513 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021?
2187515 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- ROCKETS
Will the Bulls or the Rockets win their February 22nd matchup?
1465071 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021?
620001 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021?
325614 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021?
237564 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021?
231033 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- MUSK
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021?
140135 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021?
113380 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2021$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.