Heavy-Disadvantage
0xfef63103a95dc9ece893181da391b9b2722fe212
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-286.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
2018 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
1205 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-640.00
- YES
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
728 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?
686 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-109.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
579 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
411 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
272 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-27.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
233 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Feb 25, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$19.04Feb 25, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$64.30Feb 25, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$66.33Feb 25, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$397.87Feb 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.06Feb 20, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$300.00Feb 18, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$374.21Feb 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$100.00Feb 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$20.00Feb 15, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$8.82Feb 15, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?$72.46Feb 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?$50.00Feb 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$30.00Feb 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?$10.00Feb 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$100.00Feb 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$100.00Feb 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$2.2KFeb 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?$16.00Feb 12, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $211.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".