Lively-Yesterday
0xfefb53f55af7c19c5a22c27dac58fdda2e1ef20f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on December 29?
1285 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8?
863 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 27?
833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?
342 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views on day 3?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 18?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 3?
137 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?$90.09Jun 2, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?$90.01Jun 1, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$90.09May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$90.00May 24, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$90.09May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$90.00May 21, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$90.09May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$90.01May 10, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$90.09May 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$90.00May 7, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?$90.09May 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?$90.01May 4, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$90.09May 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$90.00Apr 29, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$90.08Apr 29, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?$90.00Apr 25, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?$90.18Apr 25, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?$90.00Apr 18, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$90.09Apr 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$90.00Apr 16, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $77.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".