Capital-Calculation
0xfefcadc5859d0fd50f7793d51cada11fbb90e98e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.65
Realised
$1.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
22000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1666 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-41.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?
610 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-39.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 September 15-21?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 20?
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on August 25?
245 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$22.00Dec 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 20?$0.01Sep 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 20?$1.11Sep 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 20?$0.01Sep 20, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.83Sep 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.17Sep 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.89Sep 20, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 20?$0.96Sep 20, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.04Sep 20, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.00Sep 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.04Sep 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.03Sep 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.15Sep 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.12Sep 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.15Sep 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 20?$0.03Sep 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 20?$0.00Sep 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 20?$0.06Sep 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 20?$0.72Sep 20, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 20?$0.03Sep 20, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".