Hearty-Ratepayer
0xff06df501e108a3e09d52c85773c3deefb910987
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-701.38
Realised
$-113.58
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?
283 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
277 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
276 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?
273 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?
271 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5PM ET
270 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 7?
267 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 3?
263 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 8?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 8?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?$14.41Jul 25, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 26?$6.14Jul 25, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 24?$2.02Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 5?$20.29Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 5?$17.86Jul 4, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 3?$21.04Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 3?$19.46Jun 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$0.16Jun 2, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$74.34Jun 2, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 31?$2.04May 30, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 25?$76.86May 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 25?$74.17May 24, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 22?$3.53May 21, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$93.90May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$2.00May 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$91.08May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$2.93May 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$2.98May 7, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$20.83May 7, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$77.67Apr 27, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $30.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.