Roasted-Messenger
0xff08a21da5cca20e097009972503f7354ed8e086
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$67.68
Total PnL
$-9.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 71.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.33
$-9.59
- NO
Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.08
$0.03
- NO
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.55
$0.01
- NO
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$0.01
- NO
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.22
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$4.01Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMUSDT depeg in 2025?$4.20Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by December 31?$4.57Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$5.39Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$6.72Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?$9.21Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$9.87Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$10.96Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$14.23Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$21.31Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$4.00Dec 30, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?$9.20Dec 30, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?$9.86Dec 30, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$7.19Dec 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$5.83Dec 30, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$8.49Dec 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$9.55Dec 29, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$5.38Dec 29, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by December 31?$4.56Dec 29, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDT depeg in 2025?$4.20Dec 29, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $29.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.