Limited-Ring
0xff099c6af04b54cd19b0ddcdfb0c8105f6674728
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-592.78
Realised
$19.00
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
10494 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.43
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
2507 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-94.54
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
2500 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-425.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
625 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
603 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.81
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
147 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
138 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$17.68Jul 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$12.00Jul 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.32Jul 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.21Jul 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.05Jul 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.16Jul 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$5.03Jul 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.19Jul 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$9.58Jul 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$52.39Jul 13, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$26.25Jul 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$728.00Apr 27, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$20.00Mar 15, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$105.00Feb 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$171.52Feb 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$148.48Feb 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$42.53Feb 28, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$7.76Feb 28, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$8.47Feb 28, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$61.99Feb 28, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.