Wry-Harm
0xff0a0a72aaae703ee42db62859b82600b44c22f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 10?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?
206 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
52 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Aster all time high by December 31?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1.57Mar 29, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.00Mar 29, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.00Mar 29, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $0.00Mar 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.44Mar 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 20, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 20, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$2.09Jan 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRanger FDV above $60M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 10, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?$1.00Jan 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.59Nov 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAster all time high by December 31?$1.39Nov 28, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.