Fresh-Iris
0xff0c46a7c9a019480e41d070a192c5a845332560
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-904.43
Realised
$672.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
8701 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-117.74
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
2000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?
1272 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-83.64
- YES
Will the US gain less than 100,000 jobs in November?
843 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-134.88
- NO
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
800 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-247.20
- YES
Will the US gain more than 250,000 jobs in November?
600 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-127.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
501 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-130.26
- NO
ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?
307 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-159.73
- YES
Will the US gain between 100-150k jobs in November?
302 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-50.43
- OILERS
Oilers vs. Kings
250 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$400.00Aug 18, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLOilers vs. Golden Knights$26.96May 15, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOilers vs. Golden Knights$24.74May 15, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Golden Knights$56.10May 15, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?$5.94May 6, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?$77.70May 6, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Kings$115.00Apr 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$201.53Jan 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$111.00Jan 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$111.00Jan 13, 07:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Jan 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$135.26Jan 8, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$9.06Jan 8, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$271.04Jan 8, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrudeau resigns before February?$519.00Jan 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$215.80Jan 4, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns before February?$52.89Jan 4, 19:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.33Dec 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$426.28Dec 6, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.98Dec 6, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $89.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 22:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".