Quick-Witted-Kidney
0xff23172397a5e71b0a636c9a6440c46384c10c1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.41
Total PnL
$-866.82
Realised
$19.79
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$-0.59
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET
346 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-237.14
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 Leagues Cup?
273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8AM ET
141 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-75.45
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8PM ET
122 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.44
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 2?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,350 on September 1 at 4PM ET?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,325 on September 1 at 8PM ET?
71 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-53.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11PM ET
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10PM ET
69 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-42.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$15.01Oct 7, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$144.00Oct 7, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$63.69Oct 7, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$1.10Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$10.40Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$1.89Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$9.66Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$1.61Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$8.25Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$15.40Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$7.30Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$7.30Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$3.60Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$4.83Oct 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$1.45Oct 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$1.50Oct 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$5.67Oct 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$8.93Oct 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$14.80Oct 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET$10.81Oct 7, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 7, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.