Everlasting-Originality
0xff23c74ac1843f2cb11556c9f092159aa549f509
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$4.02
Total PnL
$-21.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.01Jan 15, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.02Jan 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be the next CEO of X?$1.01Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.02Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$1.02Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Jan 5, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$241.86Dec 10, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $204.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.