Haunting-Traveler
0xff24fe8036d1944a75c5f52d5014fda292c0af32
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-894.45
Realised
$31.49
Win rate
63%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2563 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Stijn van de Bunt (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
1027 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
343 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TDK
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
274 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
213 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$2.18Jul 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$2.21Jul 21, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$2.47Jul 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.82Jul 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$231.26Jul 19, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.41Jul 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.46Jul 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.61Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.17Jul 19, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.35Jul 19, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.14Jul 19, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.66Jul 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.17Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$4.13Jul 19, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$8.21Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$4.50Jul 18, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$20.24Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
41 closed markets, 63% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.