Grouchy-Engineering
0xff27c974008640d83034168160c439b6afe753cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$7.64
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$568.10
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.88
$0.82
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 41.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.76
$-3.37
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
24071 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.98
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
3200 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-696.61
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1887 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-261.44
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
1600 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-494.83
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1000 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-78.08
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$420.00Mar 1, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$277.75Feb 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$20.64Feb 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$103.45Feb 27, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.61Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$5.74Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$7.46Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$22.72Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?$5.14Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$5.15Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.15Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Yemen by January 31?$5.17Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?$5.18Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?$5.31Feb 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$44.71Jan 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$78.08Jan 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$90.00Jan 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$193.48Jan 16, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$120.00Jan 15, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$116.01Jan 15, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $98.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.