Barren-Orchard
0xff304b6c5faca4e2aa5c6e608047ef26c2ae2f90
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$21.53
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-102.44
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$20.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$-20.95
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-9.55
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
4250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.39
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?
1100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
750 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
670 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-428.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
416 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-132.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?
400 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-141.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-119.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.50Mar 16, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$15.50Mar 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$14.75Mar 7, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$16.04Mar 7, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$5.00Mar 7, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.00Mar 7, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$30.00Mar 7, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$10.40Mar 7, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 1, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Mar 1, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.15Mar 1, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$11.00Mar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$10.77Feb 28, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$20.00Feb 24, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$4.99Feb 18, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$4.50Feb 18, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".