Left-Harvest
0xff3ba06677d9c75c9d0b921f9053b3b6a2ebc2a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-297.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
296 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-81.81
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
157 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
129 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
68 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
19 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-10.60
- NO
Will Trump say "weave" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.86Jul 20, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38.85Jul 19, 01:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.34Jul 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.31Jul 15, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala flips a 2020 Trump state?$0.28Nov 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump blowout victory?$8.35Nov 6, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?$0.75Nov 6, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$0.00Nov 6, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$81.81Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala flips a 2020 Trump state?$9.35Nov 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "weave" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$5.00Nov 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$10.00Nov 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$10.60Nov 1, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?$1.00Nov 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 1, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump blowout victory?$10.00Nov 1, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $24.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.