This-Numismatist
0xff3c9690d7896790da6206b0105cc061ab216c5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by September 15?
1327 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.05Dec 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$1.35Nov 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$0.19Nov 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$1.27Nov 11, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?$9.84Nov 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?$6.00Sep 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Sep 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Sep 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$1.00Sep 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.00Sep 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELL"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?$10.11Sep 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$1.00Sep 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar strike on Israel by September 30?$0.98Sep 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$1.00Sep 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?$1.00Sep 11, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?$1.00Sep 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Sep 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$1.00Sep 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$1.00Sep 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $1.00Sep 11, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".