Happy-Go-Lucky-Pard
0xff3ec843a2495e7fb620d64166bbcad7204ca361
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$7.89
Total PnL
$-66.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
107 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.45
$-0.05
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.46
$-0.04
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.46
$-0.04
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
42 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.52
$-1.98
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 23?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.54Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$1.54Jun 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$2.57Jun 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$4.63Jun 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$6.08Jun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$4.09Jun 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$5.13Jun 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$20.00Jun 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Feb 23, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.06Feb 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$6.66Feb 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.33Feb 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Feb 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.11Feb 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Feb 18, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.82Feb 16, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.