Messy-Lecture
0xff4eec9e20a562c2b74a450249d568305b335502
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$69.70
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$548.75
Win rate
96%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5361 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.04
$2.68
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4441 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.66
$2.22
- YES
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$0.11Jun 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?$0.07Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$0.03Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$0.03Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.11Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?$1.02Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.14Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.31Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.24Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.19Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.25Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.17Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.25Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.26Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$0.18Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$0.03Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$0.03Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$0.05Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.