Sticky-Manager
0xff5ff932677b0e50c2eb6b2dded43a5c08fc3b2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-380.10
Realised
$-71.61
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
270 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?
216 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-57.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?
205 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 29?
194 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?
188 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 19?
171 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET
154 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 18?
126 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
122 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.69
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 20?
119 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase August 11-17?$3.07Aug 17, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 27?$128.28Jul 27, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 27?$1.60Jul 27, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 27?$125.53Jul 26, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$2.62Jul 16, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$123.45Jul 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$17.84Jul 5, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$51.63Jul 5, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$51.63Jul 5, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23?$1.87Jun 23, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?$1.10May 24, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$138.40May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$135.49May 21, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $95 Week of April 13 2026?$21.70May 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?$3.46May 9, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?$34.25May 7, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 20?$95.86May 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 20?$94.13Apr 20, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$98.16Apr 20, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $95 Week of April 13 2026?$0.03Apr 17, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $43.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.