Darling-Beginner
0xff69a0994082dd48a51201925db9a56a38e316b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
53%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25?
1625 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-22.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6PM ET
550 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?
395 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-80.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?
373 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-38.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?
309 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-54.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?
200 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on March 1?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
180 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner$1.56Jul 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET$2.00Jul 23, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET$2.00Jul 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET$1.00Jul 23, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET$2.37Jul 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET$2.04Jul 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Jul 23, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.98Jul 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 5.5$1.25Jul 18, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.23Jul 18, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$3.60Jul 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 18?$1.07Jul 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 18?$3.19Jul 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17?$7.19Jul 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17?$7.04Jul 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$0.40Jul 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$1.04Jul 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$1.11Jul 4, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
36 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.