0xff6fd5464df79838e1a438658fbb536d823532b3
0xff6fd5464df79838e1a438658fbb536d823532b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$209.47
Total PnL
$-18.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
42 shares @ 82.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.46
$0.77
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
29 shares @ 40.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.05
$4.48
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
15 shares @ 77.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.23
$0.67
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.90
$0.34
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.58
$0.25
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.45
$-0.12
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
13 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.44
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
48 shares @ 23.3¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.28
$-0.02
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
217 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.15
$-0.11
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$11.13
$-0.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$11.91Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.91Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$12.48Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11.92Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$12.01Jun 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$23.70Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$25.93Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$5.95Jun 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$5.95Jun 12, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$23.84Jun 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.63Jun 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$12.24Jun 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$37.56Jun 12, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$25.42Jun 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$11.92Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$11.92Jun 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$11.91Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11.92Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.