Suspicious-Squirrel
0xff76301e222fe173f6a5b0f3c0fdcdecd85611c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-36.23
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $116K August 4–10?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
2016 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-144.14
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?
873 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-404.23
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?
725 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
511 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $120K on August 16 at 5PM ET?
503 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 5?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 6?$10.00Dec 5, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 6?$20.00Dec 5, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 5?$10.00Dec 5, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 5?$10.00Dec 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ET$5.00Sep 29, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ET$5.00Sep 29, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 29, 7AM ET$4.00Sep 29, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET$13.00Sep 27, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET$3.77Sep 27, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET$6.00Sep 27, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$3.00Sep 27, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$3.00Sep 27, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$3.00Sep 27, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$3.13Sep 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$3.00Sep 27, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$2.94Sep 27, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET$3.00Sep 27, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 8AM ET$22.42Sep 27, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 8AM ET$2.00Sep 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 27, 8AM ET$5.00Sep 27, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.