0xff830bd72434cdfa466c55b9e6e38e78e5d3ac30
0xff830bd72434cdfa466c55b9e6e38e78e5d3ac30
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
1144 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
563 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
331 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?
157 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
74 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- NO
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
55 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$2.09Dec 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$0.03Dec 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$0.33Dec 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.13Dec 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$1.11Dec 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$1.16Dec 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.09Dec 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.77Dec 12, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$0.15Dec 12, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$1.01Dec 12, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$1.05Dec 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.17Dec 12, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.15Dec 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$0.07Dec 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?$0.16Dec 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$0.16Dec 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.15Dec 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$1.25Dec 1, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.39Dec 1, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$1.16Dec 1, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".