Vivacious-Chalice
0xff8464e3979d09a12979fb303407f8665678275f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$2.80
Total PnL
$47.40
Realised
$76.19
Win rate
90%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.00
$0.80
- YES
Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.80
$0.60
- YES
Will Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.50
$0.30
- YES
Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.30
$0.05
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
98 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.15
$0.05
- YES
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$0.03
- YES
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
503 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.20Jun 2, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.00Jun 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.00Jun 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.00Jun 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.00Jun 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.02Jun 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.20Jun 1, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.20Jun 1, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 1, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 1, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.02Jun 1, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.02Jun 1, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.02Jun 1, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.02Jun 1, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.02Jun 1, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 1, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.01Jun 1, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".