Lovely-Drudgery
0xff864d1b1246561e41313a0a287ed2a788df4329
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
3%
190 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- AUSTRALIA
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
2050 shares @ 89.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET
425 shares @ 73.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-313.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
384 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-127.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
207 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-151.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
106 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-76.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
104 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-76.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
100 shares @ 97.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-97.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Aug 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Aug 18, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.03Aug 18, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.56Aug 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.03Aug 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.14Aug 17, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.83Aug 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.13Aug 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.14Aug 17, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.75Aug 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.15Aug 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.13Aug 17, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.34Aug 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.14Aug 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.15Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 190 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
190 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 190 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.