Notable-Chime
0xff893c0f93a0ac129713f1a166122f136e11e6a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$15.86
Total PnL
$-245.24
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
355 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.93
$-1.07
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.36
$-2.64
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.8¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-4.72
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.03
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1PM ET
436 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.