0xff89b8912dc9f407141996ffd0c0385c18d3dbff
0xff89b8912dc9f407141996ffd0c0385c18d3dbff
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.32
Total PnL
$-952.14
Realised
$-104.60
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?
11 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$9.88
$0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?
37 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$9.44
$-4.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 29?
198 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 29?
177 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 29?
117 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?
86 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 12?
79 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 29?
73 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 23?
73 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 22?
64 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?$34.00Jun 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?$9.42Jun 25, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?$14.87Jun 25, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?$40.00Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?$12.00Jun 24, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?$15.04Jun 24, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?$4.94Jun 24, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?$9.46Jun 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?$15.27Jun 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?$15.13Jun 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?$1.99Jun 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?$5.09Jun 22, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?$15.23Jun 21, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 22?$2.95Jun 21, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?$15.23Jun 20, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?$12.00Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 19?$13.00Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?$13.00Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 20?$15.62Jun 19, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?$15.27Jun 19, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.