Quick-Fragrance
0xff8d38d0579f65ef204cf98e5b4a016fa1442437
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$7.15
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.72Jan 16, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Dec 26, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.04Dec 26, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.04Dec 26, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.05Dec 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 9, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$250.00Dec 6, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$250.00Dec 6, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$250.00Dec 6, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$250.00Dec 6, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$250.00Dec 6, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$250.00Dec 6, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$500.00Dec 6, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $171.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.