Snoopy-Diagnosis
0xff940f97206b2cd6147560eddd25157b48e2c347
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-43.32
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
750 shares @ 81.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$641.22
$32.81
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
300 shares @ 75.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$202.50
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
300 shares @ 59.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$202.50
$24.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
250 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$172.47
$-7.52
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
300 shares @ 30.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$102.00
$10.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
150 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$65.25
$-2.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
350 shares @ 13.9¢·now 12.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.92
$-4.72
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
75 shares @ 44.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$32.63
$-0.87
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
51 shares @ 49.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.46
$5.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$4.50Jul 23, 14:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$71.00Jul 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$2.22Jul 22, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$4.03Jul 21, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$18.75Jul 21, 08:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$42.24Jul 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$213.80Jul 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$20.25Jul 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$6.75Jul 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$11.25Jul 20, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$450.00Jul 20, 01:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$12.32Jul 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.38Jul 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.80Jul 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$15.62Jul 18, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.