Lively-Transfer
0xff9eb31c37a44b6447a0f5a524dfbfcaa2bb2cc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-997.65
Realised
$-1.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
59170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.17
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
2289 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1561 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-286.16
- YES
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
554 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-217.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
351 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-183.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 31, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12Mar 31, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.88Mar 31, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$0.01Mar 31, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$0.02Mar 31, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$0.06Mar 31, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$2.20Mar 31, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$9.26Feb 9, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.00Feb 9, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$19.25Feb 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.84Feb 9, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Feb 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$20.59Feb 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.80Feb 9, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.13Feb 9, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.90Feb 9, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.