Splendid-Colonialism
0xffaf8a35fbe96efb14481112b7f57ac36cfa64c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$539.24
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-206.88
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
75457 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$188.64
$-37.73
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.50
$-15.50
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
10507 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.06
$-217.86
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$81.25
$-56.25
- NO
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$38.20
$3.40
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$23.40
$-5.40
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 8.8¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.94
$2.25
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
167 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$-7.29
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
1100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
1010 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-41.63
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$215.75Jun 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$218.29Jun 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.91Jun 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.06Jun 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Senegal: Team to Take First Corner$69.64Jun 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.50Jun 16, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$67.54Jun 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$171.98Jun 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$157.97Jun 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?$69.36Jun 16, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$200.00Jun 16, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: IR Iran (-1.5)$20.00Jun 16, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMSaudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5$200.00Jun 16, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Uruguay (-2.5)$14.67Jun 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$328.41Jun 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5$153.09Jun 15, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $132.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.