Occasional-Disposition
0xffbb2a490b97822670c778b5374037e7b23ffa52
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$56.25
Total PnL
$-20.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
16 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$16.47
$6.47
- YES
Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?
16 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$15.51
$0.51
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$13.62
$3.13
- YES
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
11 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$10.64
$0.81
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?$0.00Jan 12, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$10.00Jan 4, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?$15.00Jan 4, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$10.00Jan 4, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?$5.00Dec 30, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$4.00Dec 30, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 175-199 tries?$0.00Dec 30, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 200-224 tries?$30.77Dec 30, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 200-224 tries?$4.00Dec 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 175-199 tries?$4.00Dec 29, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win again in 2024?$0.00Dec 29, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMAzerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?$35.71Dec 29, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?$19.89Dec 27, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?$8.97Dec 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?$15.28Dec 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$15.28Dec 27, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$10.49Dec 27, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAzerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?$10.00Dec 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden pardon Trump?$20.49Dec 27, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?$12.79Dec 27, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".