Mature-Littleneck
0xffcff7d8359ba39b2305994bc92e17118d4567b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-283.08
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
862 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?
105 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?
30 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?
17 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
12 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 21?$1.05Jul 22, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 21?$1.00Jul 21, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.12Jul 19, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.03Jul 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 18?$1.05Jul 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 20?$1.00Jul 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 18?$1.00Jul 18, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 17?$2.58Jul 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 17?$2.41Jul 17, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 16?$1.43Jul 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 16?$1.28Jul 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4PM ET$0.49Jul 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3PM ET$1.03Jul 9, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2PM ET$2.06Jul 9, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1PM ET$2.20Jul 9, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1PM ET$2.06Jul 9, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12PM ET$2.06Jul 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11AM ET$2.46Jul 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11AM ET$2.06Jul 9, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.