Untrue-Tights
0xffd058182d5d898c55349fad86ea71e72550cd07
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$284.65
Total PnL
$-286.47
Realised
$-104.79
Win rate
17%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 7?
106 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$51.58
$-6.91
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?
126 shares @ 48.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$43.42
$-17.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 8?
120 shares @ 45.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$42.60
$-11.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?
109 shares @ 58.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$42.58
$-20.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?
91 shares @ 52.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$38.30
$-9.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?
35 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$26.43
$-0.17
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8?
31 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$12.55
$-2.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8?
52 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$10.66
$-0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?
14 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$5.88
$-0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 8?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$5.61
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8?$3.74Aug 7, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?$26.60Aug 7, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 8?$6.09Aug 7, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$9.40Aug 7, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$9.36Aug 7, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$3.76Aug 7, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 8?$0.96Aug 7, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 8?$6.48Aug 7, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 8?$5.54Aug 7, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$3.76Aug 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$6.11Aug 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$2.35Aug 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$6.50Aug 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$3.84Aug 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$6.11Aug 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?$10.71Aug 7, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$3.76Aug 7, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$2.35Aug 7, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$3.76Aug 7, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?$3.76Aug 7, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
36 closed markets, 17% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.