Nonstop-Hardhat
0xffd26f3767c22ec636b1017efe0cc94d2bafbd7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?
4773 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3710 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
2590 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
2029 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1056 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?
48 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$2.00Jan 26, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 26, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.71Jan 26, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$7.54Jan 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$6.00Jan 15, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$25.00Jan 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$25.00Jan 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 13?$5.00Jan 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$4.10Jan 13, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$5.00Jan 13, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$4.10Jan 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$6.00Jan 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$6.00Jan 10, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$3.00Jan 3, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$9.79Jan 2, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.59Jan 2, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$10.00Jan 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$5.00Jan 1, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$22.47Dec 31, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$2.00Dec 30, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".