Treasured-Erosion
0xffd3b84da677844e9cae1230c7ee4e6b49ece0a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-427.35
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on February 26?
203 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?
187 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-167.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
182 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-53.13
- YES
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
166 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-44.28
- YES
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
154 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-92.47
- YES
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score
126 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-80.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
116 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-79.59
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Pelicans
112 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-62.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pelicans$62.72Mar 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?$62.73Mar 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score$80.37Mar 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$100.00Mar 11, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?$27.00Mar 11, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 10?$207.36Mar 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 10?$196.15Mar 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9?$196.15Mar 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9?$171.40Mar 7, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 7?$171.40Mar 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 7?$161.28Mar 6, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?$161.29Mar 6, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?$122.79Mar 6, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?$104.92Mar 6, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?$10.24Mar 6, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 6?$6.67Mar 6, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?$100.00Mar 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 6?$27.00Mar 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?$200.00Mar 5, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?$176.74Mar 5, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $94.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.